We are fast coming to a reckoning with this market. The uptick in sales in August on TRREB may be a sign of reaching the bottom of this market, or is it just a ‘dead cat bounce’? While sales in August were still off by 34% from those of a year ago, they were 15% higher than in July. Normally July sales are always bigger than those i...
Can this market get any slower? Sales for July on TRREB were 4912 units. This was down 47% from July of last year, but more importantly to market watchers, down 24% from June. This marks four consecutive months of sale decreases. If there is a sliver of hope, ‘active listings’ for July are 5% lower than June, even with weaker sales...
Sales on the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board in June were 6474 units. This was the lowest sales month in 18 months (not counting December). The question is: when will we reach the bottom?
Trying to predict the top or the bottom of any market is difficult. The best one can do is follow the trends and watch for a reversal. You can...
Everyone wants to know when we reach the top and the bottom of a real estate market. The reality is that you only know these points after the fact. About a month later. For the public, it is all about prices but for the real estate industry, we also focus on the volume of sales as an indicator too.
Let us hope no one was waiting for the Spring market! April sales at 8,000 units were 27% lower than in March. To gain perspective, the March to April decline in 2021 was 13%. The importance is that sales in March will be the peak month for both 2021 and 2022. Also, we are now forecasting year-end sales will be down about 22% from 2...
Looking at March numbers is like looking in the rear-view mirror. Sales at 11,000 units were down 30% from March a year ago which was the biggest sales month in 2021. Our guess is that March this year will be the biggest sales month of 2022.
Everyone wants to know what will happen for the balance of the year. As you recall, we foreca...